Tuesday, 2 February 2016

UNICEF Innovation Fund Invites Blockchain Startups

The United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) is including and inviting blockchain technology startups to apply for its ‘Innovation Fund’ with the ultimate goal of improving the lives of vulnerable children around the world.

UNICEF’s recently established Innovation Fundis calling for technology startups to apply for funding with ideas and solutions with the potential to “improve the lives of the world’s most vulnerable children.”

Founded in 1946, UNICEF has been synonymous in its role for the cause of supporting children in need around the world. The Innovation Fund was launched in 2015, bringing together models of financing and methodologies used by venture capital funds to invest in open source technologies that will benefit children in need.

The Innovation Fund has raised $9 million so far and focuses its investments in three areas, specifically:

Products for youth under 25 addressing several needs including learning and youth participation.Real-time information (technology-empowered) for decision-making; andThe necessary infrastructure to increase access to services and information including utilities, finance, transport and more.

Also read: From Berlusconi with Love: A Cryptocurrency to Save the Children of Gaza

In a media release, Christopher Fabian, UNICEF Innovation Co-Lead stated:

These three areas are ripe for investment due to rapidly changing technologies such as blockchain, 3D printing, wearables and sensors, artificial intelligence and renewable energy.

The Fund has previously invested in technology solutions such as RapidSM – a free and open source SMS framework; RapidPro – an open source product that allows adopters to build and scale mobile services anywhere in the world; and U-Report – a social messaging tool open for anyone, anywhere in the world. These services already count millions of users as adopters.

“We are hoping to identify communities of problem-solvers and help them develop simple solutions to some of the most pressing problems facing children,” Fabian added.

UNICEF’s Innovation Fund requires projects applying for grants to possess a working prototype and be open source.

The deadline for submissions is February 26, 2016. Additional information for interested startups can be found here.

Bitcoin Isn't Dead—But It Is Threatened by Tech InfightingThe cryptocurrency's crucial censorship-resistant property is not stewarded as cautiously as it should be by those in the Bitcoin community.

btckeychain/FlickrAccording to the popular press, Bitcoin has died and gone to cryptocurrency heaven at least 93 times already. Every few weeks, a new journalist gets wind of the censorship-resistant payment protocol and takes to the newsfeeds to declare its demise—more often than not, in the midst of healthy Bitcoin price appreciation. But the89th obituary for the world’s best-performing currency drew a bit more attention than usual because its author was former Bitcoin core developer Mike Hearn.

Hearn’s doomsaying—conveniently timed with a New York Times piece sympathetic to his point of view—titillated mainstream gawkers. But to many within the peer-to-peer world, it appeared to be sour grapes (or deliberate sabotage) over the community's rejection of Hearn's most recent Bitcoin proposal. In BitTorrent creator Bram Cohen’s words, Hearn’s stunt was little but a "whiny ragequit."

Whether motivated by sincerity or butthurt, Hearn’s last stand has not slowed down the Bitcoin project. A quick look at market data confirms that Bitcoin is quite alive. Many people (including myself) are still optimistic about the many exciting benefits that Bitcoin presents, such as affordability and flexibility. But these are ultimately only enjoyable side-effects. The core purpose of Bitcoin, as creator Satoshi Nakamoto clearly explained, is to "allow online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without the burdens of going through a financial institution." This property of censorship-resistance ensures that individuals across the world have a reliable option to make payments without fearing government or corporate suppression.

Without a censorship-resistant payment system like Bitcoin, individuals in oppressive situations have no hope to transact without the permission of their overlords. So it is no exaggeration to say that the fight to preserve Bitcoin’s decentralized nature is the fight to protect individual liberty itself. Unfortunately, Bitcoin's crucial censorship-resistant property is not stewarded as cautiously as it should be, as the "great block size debate" of the past year illustrates.

Some background: In the early days of the Bitcoin network, Nakamoto instituted a temporary limit on the size of the transaction groupings, or "blocks," that Bitcoin miners could add to the distributed ledger of transactions, known as the "blockchain." He did this as an ad hoc measure to prevent spam attacks against the infant network, expecting that the one megabyte limit would be repealed without incident at an appropriate time in the future.

If the network does grow to the point that it reaches this arbitrary limit, it would hardly be catastrophic. But users might either have to pay higher transaction fees to prioritize their payments or wait longer for the network to process them, putting strains on the network’s transaction volume and thus potentially threatening the network's scalability.

As the average block size inched closer to the one megabyte limit in 2014 and 2015—and more investment, business, and infrastructure rushed in to support the much-hyped Bitcoin project—developers turned again to the block-size limit problem. In theory, the solution should have been simple: raise or repeal the limit. Reality, as usual, was much messier, with the debate devolving into a regrettable and highly personal battle between defenders of Bitcoin decentralization and a group of reformers who would like to see Bitcoin resemble the centralized payment systems that we already have.

A larger-than-expected coalition supported the idea of a "hard fork" of the network. A hard fork allows Bitcoin developers to change elements of the protocol that are fundamental to its operation, which would include the block size limit.

But because some transactions that would have been invalid under the old rules would become suddenly valid after, a hard fork requires almost unanimous consensus from every single Bitcoin holder. If consensus is not clearly achieved, miners who lag in adopting to the hard fork may reject certain transactions that would have violated the old rules, while miners who have upgraded proceed to add them to their blocks. The result: two or more chains that coexist within the Bitcoin network, creating confusion among users and wreaking havoc on the price and viability of the network’s future. Gathering the consensus required for a hard fork would be a near Herculean feat—and even then, the highly risky unintended consequences introduced by the change could be far more damaging than the ultimately manageable problem it would aim to address.

Still, many professional Bitcoin companies that provide third-party wallet and exchange services, along with legacy financial institutions hoping to cash in on the blockchain bonanza, supported the idea of a hard fork. And people who view Bitcoin as a tool to promote justice through fast and "free" payments likewise had an ideological reason to get behind it. These groups tended to coalesce last year around Hearn’s proposed "Bitcoin XT" hard fork or former lead developer Gavin Andresen’s related BIP101 proposal to increase the block size.

But there was a big problem: some of the most seasoned Bitcoin developers harbored very strong doubts that the protocol itself could handle Hearn's or Andresen's proposals without undermining the decentralization and censorship-resistance for which Bitcoin was created in the first place. Others were skeptical that the network could withstand anysuch kind of contentious hard fork at all.

Some suggested that the technical scaling problems could be better addressed by building off-chain solutions that would alleviate congestion while leaving the core protocol intact. Pieter Wiulle, the Bitcoin developer who has contributed the most patches to the code, introduced a proposal called "segregated witness" that could alleviate block congestion by removing extra information from transaction headers and thereby shrink the size of most transactions—all done by a less high-stakes and oft-deployed "soft fork" of the network. 

These dissenters, however, lagged behind the hard fork evangelists in terms of public relations. Media outlets routinely covered the situation as if there were no viable alternatives to Hearn's proposal at all, churning out clickbait articlesproclaiming that Bitcoin would fail entirely if Hearn's idea was scuttled. Hard fork skeptics— who literally built the techniques upon which Bitcoin relies—were accused by passionate yet pedestrian forum-dwellers of myopia, ignorance, and jealously guarding a "clubby" and non-transparent atmosphere. Soon enough, the Reddit rabble translated any hard fork opposition as a reactionary stand against free Bitcoin micro-transactions and charitable efforts in the developing world.

In response to criticisms and misconceptions, a group of respected core developers hosted a well-publicized conference in Hong Kong in December 2015 called "Scaling Bitcoin," where they discussed the most pertinent technical challenges facing Bitcoin and brainstormed on potential solutions. Participants branded their efforts "Bitcoin Core," to distinguish their vision from Hearn’s “Bitcoin XT” and Andresen’s later "Bitcoin Classic." The Bitcoin Core scalability solutions were endorsed by an impressive array of leading Bitcoin developers and continue to be developed for gradual implementation later in the year.

This new consensus projects a path forward that addresses scalability concerns while preserving Bitcoin’s core censorship-resistance, and should be a welcome solution for parties on both sides of the block size debate. Imagine the shock, then, when Hearn published his oddly-worded rant declaring the Bitcoin project to be a failure entirely. 

Contra Hearn, Bitcoin market prices remain healthy and loyal developers continue plugging away at scalability solutions. However, this incident clarifies a lurking cultural vulnerability that threatens Bitcoin’s core property as a censorship-resistant protocol: the technical inputs that support Bitcoin’s decentralization can be weaponized to neuter the technology. Passions can be inflamed by rampant misinformation. Forums and media outlets can be gamed to promote a vision that threatens Bitcoin's core censorship-resistance. Bitcoin survived this trial, but the cultural vulnerability remains. 

Going forward, the community should take care to promote censorship-resistance as the non-negotiable centrality to the Bitcoin project, both to the public and to themselves. Only a unified acknowledgement of our stewardship of this critical human right can protect the network from subtle predation—and, ultimately, from ourselves.

Bitcoin Price Technical Analysis for 02/02/2016 – Ready for Another Break Out?

Bitcoin price is due for yet another breakout, and the technical indicators suggest that the path of least resistance is to the downside.

Bitcoin Price Key HighlightsBitcoin price recently broke below a long-term consolidation pattern but is now stuck in a new one.Price is trading inside a symmetrical triangle and is approaching the peak of the formation, indicating that another breakout is imminent.Price could still test the top of the triangle around $375 and the 100 SMA, which might hold as resistance.

Bitcoin price is due for yet another breakout, and the technical indicators suggest that the path of least resistance is to the downside.

Technical Indicators Signals

The 100 SMA is below the longer-term 200 SMA, which suggests that the downtrend could carry on. RSI is on middle ground, though, so buyers and sellers might still be undecided.

Meanwhile, stochastic is on the move up but is nearing the overbought region. Once the oscillator turns down from that area, bearish momentum could pick up and pave the way for a downside break.

If that occurs, bitcoin price could fall to the bottom of the triangle around $350. Stronger selling pressure could take it down to the next long-term area of interest at $300. On the other hand, an upside break could bring bitcoin price to the top of the triangle around $420, with stronger bullish pressure lifting it all the way up to the longer-term resistance at $465.

Market Risks

The US dollar lost ground to most of its peers, including bitcoin, in recent trading sessions when economic data came in mostly weaker than expected and a Fed official admitted that inflation might stay low for much longer. The core PCE price index showed a flat reading instead of the estimated 0.1% uptick, confirming that price pressures are subdued.

Also, personal spending was flat in December even as personal income rose 0.3%, hinting that consumers would rather save instead of spending. This could be indicative of weaker consumer confidence, which might weigh on overall growth later on.

With that, the US dollar might be poised to give up more ground to bitcoin price in the coming days, supporting the case for an upside triangle breakout. Then again, with risk aversion in play, the safe-haven dollar could continue to gain bids.

Upcoming market events include the RBA statement and BOE statement, both of which might sound more dovish than usual. This could be enough to bring risk-off moves back on the table, as central banks have been acknowledging the external threats from China and falling oil prices.

Factors that could also affect sentiment include a potential OPEC meeting to discuss a cut in production, which might then revive risk-taking and allow higher-yielding assets like bitcoin price to advance.

Long candles closing above the resistance at $380 or below the triangle support at $370 could be enough to confirm a directional breakout, although a surge in volatility could make bitcoin price prone to a fake out during top-tier market events, which also include the US non-farm payrolls report due on Friday.

Intraday support level – $370

Intraday resistance level – $380

Technical Indicators Settings:

100 SMA and 200 SMARSI (14)Stochastic (8, 3, 3)

Monday, 1 February 2016

Japanese Financial Giant Invests in Bitcoin Exchange Kraken

Japanese venture capital firm SBI Investment is leading a Series B funding round in bitcoin exchange Kraken.

While the terms of the deal were not disclosed, Kraken said that a "multi-million dollar" investment had been agreed upon with SBI. Kraken did not say when it expected the Series B round to be completed.

"It’s a fantastic first step toward completing Series B, which will ultimately enable us to scale our business worldwide," said Kraken CEO Jesse Powell.

SBI Investment is the venture capital arm of SBI Holdings, an Internet-based financial group that reported an operating revenue of roughly $2bn in 2015. The firm recently announced that it would work with Ripple to establish a new company with a focus on Asian markets.

The announcement comes shortly after Kraken disclosed that it was acquiring New York bitcoin exchange Coinsetter in an undisclosed deal.

Kraken closed a Series A funding round in March 2014, raising $5m in a round led by Hummingbird Ventures, an early-phase venture capital firm.

Disclosure: CoinDesk is a subsidiary of Digital Currency Group, which has an ownership stake in Kraken.

Bitcoin Price Holds Support Again

Bitcoin price is showing some recognizable indications in the 4hr chart where price has failed to make new lows and is apparently finding support.

This analysis is provided by xbt.social with a 3-hour delay. Read the full analysis here. Not a member? Join now and receive a $29 discount using the code CCN29.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Time of analysis: 15h00 UTC

BTCC 4-Hour Chart

From the analysis pages of xbt.social, earlier today:

Support is currently holding at an ascending trendline blue) and some familiar technical indications are forming:

1) MACD (top) is compressing to its zero line
2) The stochastics (second from top) are not swinging in their full range despite decisive price moves
3) RSI has not diverged from price once during the past 2 weeks, and the RSI pattern mirrors price wave for wave.

One of three scenarios are now likely:

A) consolidation into a base for advance and then a surge higher
B) A surge higher (without consolidation) and then a gradual advance – such as we saw in September 2015
C) Additional decline is also possible, the 1-day chart’s 200MA is at $320 (Bitstamp) and 2000 CNY. Price could conceivably continue decline to this former level of support

Summary

A consolidation will be easy to identify and we can expect a series of buy signals when advance begins. However, a sure confirmation of additional decline will be a breach of the supporting blue trendline. Since decline has been complex – and messy – until now, and with many false signals – it is probably best we sit a potential last wave out, unless it is clearly signaled.

Bitfinex Depth Chart and Buy/Sell Volume

Click here for the CCN.LA interactive bitcoin price chart.

What do readers think? Please comment below.

This analysis is provided by xbt.social with a 3-hour delay. Read the full analysis here. Not a member? Join now and receive a $29 discount using the code CCN29.

Readers can follow Bitcoin price analysis updates every day on CCN.LA. A Global Economic Outlook report is published every Monday.

Disclaimer

The writer trades Bitcoin. Trade and Investment is risky. CCN.LA accepts no liability for losses incurred as a result of anything written in this Bitcoin price analysis report.

Why Bitcoin and Blockchain Are Just Getting Started

Dan Elitzer is a member of IDEO Futures, where he leads IDEO's Bits + Blocks coLAB, an innovation lab exploring blockchains and related technology in collaboration with Citi Ventures, Fidelity Labs and Nasdaq.

This article was written by Elitzer in conjunction with his colleagues at IDEO Futures – Joe Gerber, Reid Williams, Diego Rodriguez, Piper Loyd, Ted Ko and Eric Chan. 

In the opinion piece, the team looks at recent challenges facing bitcoin, and express their belief that bitcoin and blockchain hold as much promise as they did a year ago.

What is Bitcoin good for, if not an occasional dose of drama?

Readers of the recent New York Times piece, "The Bitcoin Believer Who Gave Up", have been rightfully concerned about the future of bitcoin. But there remains much more promise for bitcoin and blockchain than readers might glean from this single snapshot.

Yes, there are significant technical and governance challenges for scaling bitcoin. The number of transactions the network can process today is far too low and the security and software development concentrated in too few hands.

None of the concerns raised by developer Mike Hearn in his farewell message (to bitcoin specifically; he is now working full-time for the blockchain consortium R3CEV) are news to those who have been following bitcoin closely.

However, these challenges should be seen as symptoms of bitcoin’s amazing success to date rather than its imminent demise. In barely seven years of existence, bitcoin has moved from a fringe technology for libertarians and drug dealers to a commodity valued at over $5bn (with a 'B'), the basis of over $1bn in venture capital investment.

Bitcoin and its underlying blockchain technology are the focus of R&D efforts by nearly every major financial services company, the MIT Media Lab, and the UK government.

Just last week, Digital Asset Holdings announced a $52m fundraise from some of the biggest players on Wall Street, as well as revealing the selection of their blockchain-based software as the new infrastructure for the Australian Securities Exchange.

All the problems Hearn cites have arisen because more and more people and institutions want to use bitcoin; they are more like growing pains than a death knell.

Growing ecosystem

Despite the current challenges, we still believe bitcoin and blockchain hold as much promise as they did a year ago when we decided to start the Bits + Blocks coLAB.

Once you’ve seen the power of a peer-to-peer digital currency and permissionless payment network, it’s hard to unsee them. Bitcoin has opened our eyes and created new expectations for the ways we store and transfer value of all kinds.

While we believe in bitcoin specifically, we also see it as just one piece of a growing ecosystem of distributed systems, shared ledgers, and cryptographic technology which will have a profound impact on how we interact, transact, and communicate with each other.

Bitcoin may eventually fail to live up to the potential we see for it, but it is certainly ripe with learning and worthy of our attention. We are still inspired by the vast potential of blockchain technology to foster new forms of trust and exchange.

Our most recent research into how these technologies might enable new digital identity systems left us feeling more confident than ever that blockchains are powerful tools that will lead to the creation of great new experiences.

Bitcoin has been declared dead many times before, something that should come as no surprise, given it is a very early-stage technology that has already taken a couple steep rides up and down the hype cycle.

Much like the evolution of the internet starting with TCP/IP protocols that have resulted in the web we use today, the revolutionary changes made possible by bitcoin and blockchain will likely take at least five to 10 years to begin to reach their potential.

Antpool Announces Bitcoin Classic Beta Testing

The ongoing Bitcoin block size debate has been a source for a fair bit of controversy and discussion in recent months, but it finally looks like a decision is just around the corner. With Bitcoin Core having to address some security concerns regarding segwit, and Bitcoin Classic going into beta testing today, developers are off to the races to compile a properly secured block size solution. Antpool is upping the game by announcing beta testing of Bitcoin Classic.

Also read: Gamerholic, the Next ‘Billion Dollar Gaming Company’? A Q&A With Anari Sengbe

Antpool Starts Bitcoin Classic Beta Trial

It was only a matter of time until the Bitcoin Classicproposal started showing what it is all about, and a beta version of the client has been released. The main goal of this proposal is to increase the Bitcoin block size to 2MB, but use a hard fork to do so. Various community members are worried this is too risky of a solution, as there are some downsides to hard forking Bitcoin.

At the same time, security questions have arose regarding the Bitcoin Core solution and its Segregated Witness implementation. While this softfork approach is far less risky for the network than implementing a hard fork, the current version of segwit is far from optimal. Especially the Chinese mining pools are questioning this proposal, and seem to be more in favor of Bitcoin Classic right now.

So much even that Antminer CEO Wu Jihan reported how Antpool will be implementing the Bitcoin Classic beta client very soon. Performing a real life stress test of this proposal will tell whether or not this is a viable idea to solve the Bitcoin block size debate once and for all. Keeping in mind how Antpool is one of the largest Bitcoin mining pools in the world, a successful test may result in other pools adopting Bitcoin Classic in its beta form as well.

Other major mining pools pledging support for Bitcoin Classic in the past include BW and BitFury. Furthermore, mining hardware manufacturers KnCMiner and Avalon have also expressed their preference for this solution, as has cloud miningprovider Genesis Mining. Plus, with so many major companies in the Bitcoin world supporting Bitcoin Classic as well, it seems as if this solution will be the one to keep an eye on. However, it is still too early to tell, as a lot will hinge on the results of the beta testing.

Addressing Segwit Security Worries

There are a few different concerns regarding the effectiveness of Segregated Witness if it were to be implemented in Bitcoin at all. Even though this proposal is aimed at creating 2 MB blocks, the effective size would be somewhere between 1.3 MB and 1.6 MB. Needless to say, this is not a perfect solution, although it would allow for slightly more transactions per block.

Additionally, segwit would require developers to make major changes to the source code of Bitcoin Core. Making these changes could lead into a whole slew of different problems down the road, which should be avoided at all costs. Especially when keeping in mind how Bitcoin Core developers are working through a backlog already before even thinking about implementing these new features.

What are your thoughts on Antpool starting the Bitcoin Classic beta testing soon? Will other pools or service providers follow their example? Let us know in the comments below!