Friday, 20 November 2015

Bitcoin Price Breaks; Return to Volatility!

Finally it looks as though we are getting a return to the volatility we are used to in the bitcoin price. Over the last twenty four hours, action looks to have returned to the up-down momentum we have seen over the last month or so (with the exception of the last few days) and as a result, we are able to effectively bring our breakout strategy in to play.
As we head into the European afternoon, where are we looking in the bitcoin price now, and how can we take advantage of the return to volatility in our quest to draw a profit from the bitcoin market this afternoon? Take a quick look at the chart to get an idea of the levels we are looking at.
As the chart shows, after carving out fresh lows overnight, we are now trading mid range between in term support at 314.61 and in term resistance at 325.87. these are the two levels we are looking at, to the upside and the downside respectively.
If we get a break above in term resistance, we will look for a close above that level to validate a medium term upside entry towards an initial upside target of 336.03. On this one, a stop somewhere around 324 will help us to maintain a positive risk reward profile.
Looking the other way, a close below in term support (post breakout) will put us short towards an initial downside target of 310 flat. This is a tighter target than our upside entry, so a slightly tighter stop is warranted – somewhere around 216 flat should do the trick.

Thursday, 19 November 2015

Bitcoin Price Intraday Analysis for 19/11/2015 – Downside Breakout Taking Place

Bitcoin Price Key Highlights
After spending weeks sitting pretty inside a tight consolidation pattern, bitcoin price is finally getting back on its feet and showing some momentum.A downside breakout from the ascending triangle pattern and short-term pennant formation appears to be taking place.
Bitcoin price could be in for more downside now that a long red candle has closed below the ascending triangle support at $330.
How Low Can It Go?
Bitcoin price could have its sights set on the bottom of the triangle pattern near the $300 major psychological level as its target for the selloff. Before further declines take place though, price could still pull up to retest the broken triangle support.
The 100 SMA crossed above the 200 SMA briefly but looks ready to make another downward crossover, indicating that further downside is to be expected. Stochastic is on the move down but is already nearing the oversold region so a bit of profit-taking might be possible soon.
RSI is also heading south, indicating that bearish pressure is present. Once the oscillator reaches the oversold area and turns higher, bulls might still take control and push for a move up to the triangle resistance near $340. Sustained buying pressure might even lead to a pop higher that could show the downside break was a fake out.
The average directional index is starting to make its way up to the 50.0 level, possibly indicating a return to trending market conditions. If bearish momentum stays in play, this could be a signal that a longer-term downtrend is underway.
For now, bitcoin price could target the next near-term floor around the $320 area of interest. This level has acted as resistance then support, likely spurring a quick bounce when price reaches it soon.
Intraday support level – $320
Intraday resistance level – $340
Technical Indicators Settings:
100 SMA and 200 SMAStochastic (8, 3, 3)RSI (14)ADX (14, 14)
Charts from Bitstamp, courtesy ofTradingView

Wednesday, 18 November 2015

Is Bitcoin Anonymous? A Complete Beginner’s Guide

Bitcoin is not anonymous, but, rather, pseudo-anonymous. By now, most Bitcoin veterans know this. It’s less obvious to many, however, why Bitcoin is not really anonymous by default, and what can be done to de-anonymize Bitcoin users – and what Bitcoin users can do to reclaim their privacy.
Below is an advanced beginners guide to get a better understanding of the nuances of Bitcoin and anonymity.
How do Bitcoin transactions work?
To better understand Bitcoin’s anonymity, it's necessary to first understand how Bitcoin works on a basic level.
Most importantly, the Bitcoin protocol effectively consist of a series of transactions. These transactions are basically a package of different kinds of data, among which are transaction inputs and transaction outputs.Inputs refer to Bitcoin addresses used to send bitcoin from, and can only be spent using the private key associated to that address.Outputs effectively refer to addresses used to send bitcoin to. Each Bitcoin transaction transfers bitcoin from one or several inputs to one or several outputs (therefore, transferring bitcoin from one or several addresses to one or several addresses).
It's possible for a transaction to simply have one input and one output. But that is rare, as it would require that the amount of bitcoin to be sent (the output) precisely equal the amount of an earlier amount received (the input).
Instead, it's quite common that a transaction consists of multiple smaller inputs in order to make for one larger transaction. If someone, for instance, controls three different inputs of one bitcoin each, and needs to send 2.5 bitcoin to an online store, the software will merge all three inputs into a single transaction.
And it's even more common that a transaction consists of multiple outputs. This is because Bitcoin uses change addresses. Change addresses allow users to create a transaction that returns the excess amount of bitcoin from one or several inputs back to the original sender. So in the example above, the software will typically create two outputs. One output attributes 2.5 bitcoin to the address belonging to the online store, while another output will attribute .5 bitcoin back to the newly generated (change) address controlled by the sender.
What makes bitcoin 'anonymous'?
There are generally three reasons why bitcoin is sometimes regarded as anonymous.
First, unlike bank accounts and most other payment systems, Bitcoin addresses are not tied to the identity of users on a protocol level. Anyone can create a new and completely random Bitcoin address (and the associated private key) at any time, without the need to submit any personal information to anyone.
Second, transactions are not tied to the identity of users either. As such, (and as long as a miner includes the transaction in a block) anyone can effectively transfer bitcoin from any address to which it controls the (private) keys, to any other address, with no need to reveal any personal information at all. Like physical cash, not even the receiver needs to know the identity of the sender.
And third, Bitcoin transaction data is transmitted and forwarded by nodes to a random set of nodes on the peer-to-peer network. While Bitcoin nodes do connect to each other using IP-addresses, it's not necessarily clear for nodes whether the transaction data they received was created by the node they connect to, or if that node merely forwarded that data.
How is anonymity defeated?
There are basically three ways to de-anonymize Bitcoin users.
First of all, even though Bitcoin transactions are randomly transmitted over the peer-to-peer network, this system is not airtight. If an attacker, for instance, has the means toconnect multiple nodes to the Bitcoin network, the combined data collected from these different nodes might be enough to determine where a transaction originated.
Second, Bitcoin addresses can be linked to real identities if these real identities are used in combination with the Bitcoin addresses in some way. This includes addresses used to deposit or withdraw money to or from a (regulated) exchange or wallet service, publicly exposed donation addresses, or addresses simply used to send bitcoin to someone (including the online store) when using a real identity.
But perhaps most importantly, all transactions over the Bitcoin network are completely transparent and traceable by anyone. It's typically this complete transparency that allows multiple Bitcoin addresses to be clustered together, and be tied to the same user. Therefore, if just one of these clustered addresses is linked to a real-world identity through one or several of the other de-anonymizing methods, all clustered addresses can be.
What is clustering?
Let’s take a closer look at clustering.
A very basic clustering method is the analysis of transactions networks. In its most basic form, this refers to the several inputs combined into a single transaction. While these inputs could have originated from different addresses, the fact that they were combined into a single transaction suggests that all these inputs – and therefore all related addresses – are controlled by the same user.
Similarly, there are various methods to identify change addresses as being change addresses, which links them to the sender of the transaction. This is fairly straightforward when receiving bitcoin; the output that is not attributed to you is typically (though not always) attributed to the change address controlled by the sender. In addition, some Bitcoin software, reveals the change address to attentive onlookers, too. It does so, for instance, by always creating a change address as thelast output of a transaction. The use ofmultisig-addresses can be a giveaway as well.
Another clustering method is taint analysis. Taint analysis is fairly straightforward, too, and is even offered by several freely accessible block explorers. Basically, taint analysis calculates what percentage of bitcoin on a specific address originated from another specific address, whether the addresses are one transaction separated from each other – or more.
And then there's amount analysis and timing analysis. Amount analysis, as the name suggests, doesn't track specific transactions, but rather specific amounts. Similarly, timing analysis tracks specific times. If, for example, one input is exactly 2.6539924 bitcoin, and an unrelated output is exactly 2.6539924 (minus fee) one block later, it suggests that the sending and receiving addresses belong to someone using some kind of mixer (see below).
What can be done to reclaim privacy?
Bitcoin privacy is still very much an arms race. While progress is being made to improve Bitcoin anonymity on one hand, possible methods to de-anonymize users are often established on the other. And while it is beyond the scope of this article to explore all potential future possibilities to improve anonymity, there are some basic methods to increase privacy on the Bitcoin network available right now.
One such a straightforward solution is using TOR or other methods to hide IP addresses. If Bitcoin transactions are transmitted over TOR, there is no way to determine where they originated from (granted that TOR itself does as promised, of course).
Another basic solution to increase privacy is creating a new address for each transaction. Creating a new address for each transaction makes it harder to link addresses to real identities, as it would at the very least require more clustering to do so. An increasing number of Bitcoin wallets do this automatically using hierarchical deterministic(HD) wallet software.
A slightly more advanced method to gain privacy is the use of mixers. Mixers exist in multiple shapes and forms, but they basically enable that everyone using the mixer receives each others' bitcoin. If done well, mixing counters the analysis of transaction networks as well as taint analysis. And for improved results, mixing can be repeated.
One example of such a mixing strategy isCoinJoin, which merges inputs from and outputs to several users into one transaction – breaking the assumption that all inputs belong to the same user. CoinJoin does not, however, remove all taint from a Bitcoin address, since the inputs and outputs are still connected to some degree.
Alternatively, some mixers can remove all taint, as they return unrelated bitcoin from completely different addresses belonging to the mixer. However, these mixers are typically centralized, and as such will know the sending and receiving Bitcoin addresses belonging to users.
Additionally, to counter amount analysis, mixers can require all users to submit the same amount into the mix. Alternatively, mixing services can charge a random fee, making it harder for an outsider to link the amount of bitcoin sent to the amount returned. Furthermore, it's possible to break up the amount mixed, further obfuscating the coins, while smaller amounts are easier lost in “the crowd” of transactions.
To counter timing analysis, moreover, mixers can wait some random time before they send coins back; the longer this range, the harder it becomes to link transactions. Furthermore,extending the mixing time increases the likelihood of transactions to be obfuscated with normal transactions.
But in the end, Bitcoin privacy is still a sliding scale – not a binary problem. Rather than being either completely anonymous or not at all, Bitcoin users enjoy a certain level of privacy, depending on how much of their identity they reveal, which of the anonymizing techniques they apply, how many, and how often.
N.b.: For specific examples of mixing techniques, see the research paper cited below.
The article is largely based on 'Research on Anonymization and De-anonymization in the Bitcoin System', an ATR Defense Science & Technology Lab. paper by QingChun ShenTu and JianPing Yu from Bitbank Research Labs, published by Shenzhen University. Additional thanks go to Bitsquare developer Manfred Karrer and Blocktrail co-founder Jop Hartog for providing feedback on an earlier draft of this article

London Stock Exchange, Banks and Trading Firms Create Blockchain Group

Several prominent exchanges, trading firms and banks have come together to set up a blockchain-based settlement group that could significantly transition the current securities market in the way of settling securities trades.
A group comprising of the London Stock Exchange, UBS, the CME Group, Societe Generale, LCH.Clearnet and Euroclear have formed an initiative to look into the possibilities of bringing blockchain technology to securities trading.
As reported by the Financial News, sources familiar with the group have confirmed three meetings that have already taken place in recent months. A steering committee has also been formed to help with the process, the publication added.
The group is currently operating under the working title ‘Post Trade Distributed Ledger Working Group,’ with the focus currently on the application of blockchain technology in supporting post-trade processes.
A London Stock Exchange spokesman toldFinancial News:
Our view is the technology needs to be developed in a considered and rigorous manner, in partnership with clients, to provide the right service and benefit to them. Given our long experience in post-trade, our group has significant technical expertise to bring to the discussion.

The London Stock Exchange Group also played host to the first meeting, while the spokesman shared the company’s belief in seeing blockchain technology to usher change in the capital markets industry. More specifically in both “pre- and post-trade,” with risk management seen to benefit immediately due to the tamper-proof system that blockchain brings.
The current clearing mechanism, which may soon turn into a legacy system if blockchain had its way sees stock trades take two days to be settled during a transfer. A blockchain settlement system is likely to facilitate trades in a matter of minutes.

Tuesday, 17 November 2015

DUBAI COULD HAVE 400 BITCOIN ATMS

Sergey Yusupov posted on twitter that he as imported 400 Bitcoin ATMs in Dubai. These ATMs could be operational within two weeks. Yusupov plans to have them operating in April all around the city. Yusupov's tweet shows a warehouse full of four hundred Bitcoin ATMs, though the exact location is unknown. The city authorities and government were not involved with importing the Units, and it was not disclosed if a license is needed to operate them. Yusupov also didn't mention what company would be responsible for upkeep and regulation of the units all over the city. As of right now, it seems that most of them are sitting in the warehouse, however, if he plans to have them operating in two weeks, the units will probably be shipped out and setup around the city very shortly. At this time there is no rock solid proof that the units are there, so take his tweet with a grain of salt. When the two week deadline approaches, we will know if he has the ATMs. CCN will bring you more coverage on this when there are further developments in the story.
Bitcoin ATMs have begun to trend all over the world. There are a few ATMs in the United States, and many more worldwide. After the Mt. Gox scandal or the "Goxxing", Bitcoin owners have been very reluctant to use exchange sites, and have been seeking other ways to get Bitcoin. ATMs cut the need to use an online exchange, and complete the transaction right then and there. The ability to buy and sell Bitcoin at a physical Kiosk provides peace of mind and ease. Having 400 Bitcoin ATMs in one city would be huge! With each new Bitcoin ATM that is placed in the world, Bitcoin becomes that much closer to being a mainstream currency. If people are trading Fiat money at a physical location for Bitcoin, that is a powerful thing.
The Bitcoin community continues to expand and create new technology. Cryptocurrencies drive the demand for ASIC chips, and other mining specific equipment. Trending Altcoins have even been driving development of ASIC chips that can mine Scrypt based coins, however, those chips are still less profitable than a good GPU.
In the United States, Bitcoin ATMs are heavily regulated and require many security measures to prevent money laundering and crime. It is currently unknown what features had to be added to these Bitcoin ATMs that are in Dubai; the laws are different, and they might not be very regulated at all. The thought of four hundred Bitcoin ATMs in one city is just unheard of, there is only a few in all of the United States.
It is clear that the popularity of this machine is growing, and companies are working to create more of them as the demand rises. Just like the demand for ASIC chips arose, the demand for Bitcoin ATMs will soon rise further as people seek to be able to use Bitcoin as a truly mainstream currency in their daily lives. People would be able to stop an ATM and turn cash into Bitcoin and then be able to complete online purchases from their phones after completing the transaction at the ATM. If Bitcoin becomes more widely accepted, this could even cut out the need for credit/debit cards and lead the currency into a whole new era of prosperity.

Bitcoin Projected To Be Sixth Largest Global Reserve Currency By 2030

Bitcoin will be the sixth largest global reserve currency by 2030, according to research by Silicon Valley investment firm Magister Advisors, which surveyed some 30 block chain companies, the International Business Times reported. The research also indicates banks will invest $1 billion in block chain technology in the next few years and that the block chain will become the rails on which finance runs.   Block chain is “without question” the most important enterprise IT development in a decade, said Jeremy Millar, a partner in the investment firm. He characterized the block chain as being on a par with big […]

ASIC Miner of 2013 for generating Bitcoins

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