Friday, 19 February 2016

Africa’s big banks are betting on fintech startups and bitcoin to beat disruption

African banks have been late to the fintech party, but after leaving huge swaths of the population to get their financial services from telcos (most famously Safaricom’s M-Pesa in Kenya), banks here are increasingly seeing the continent as a testing ground for new financial technologies like bitcoin and the blockchain.

“You have a headwind from Silicon Valley and Europe blowing into Africa now around the disruption in fintech. The banks are really nervous and they want to get ahead of this,” says Mbwana Alliy, managing partner at African technology venture firm, the Savannah Fund.

Blockchain is the hot topic at shiny new fintech innovation hubs like Rand Merchant Bank’s AlphaCode in Johannesburg, which hosted the Afrikoin conference last December and is running a fintech accelerator this year, and Barclays Rise in Cape Town, which is hosting Fintech Africa’s blockchain conferenceon Feb. 25.

Blockchain is the “distributed ledger” that keeps track of bitcoin trades around the world. In the simplest of terms, the promise of blockchain is the tracking and transparency of all transactions, tamper-proof because no one transaction is kept in any one place, but stored on computers all around the world.

There’s good reason for banks to be afraid, says Vinny Lingham, a South African serial entrepreneur whose current blockchain startup, Civic, is based in Silicon Valley. “I think the banking sector in Africa is going to be disrupted faster than anywhere else in the world. What you have with bitcoin and blockchain is a trustless method of operating. You don’t need third parties like banks operating as trust brokers anymore. It’s all built into the code. The way mobile leapfrogged fixed lines communications in Africa, blockchain will leapfrog a lot of the financial infrastructure that exists today.”

In order to get ahead of that, Barclays opened the first African branch of Rise, its global network of innovation spaces, in December 2015. The goal is to work with fintech entrepreneurs who would otherwise be beyond the banking behemoth’s grasp.

“People in Africa do banking on their mobile phones, but our talent base is all built on bricks and mortar banking,” says Barclays’ Head of Open Innovation Arian Lewis. “So we’re thinking, are we actually a tech company? To make that shift, you have to approach talent that sits at the front end of that change curve.”

The 300-year old startup

Barclays Africa, which is 62% owned by UK-based Barclays Plc, operates in 13 African countries, hopes that a beautiful work space, an accelerator run by the US chain TechStars, and access to its customers will bring in new ways of thinking that the 300 year-old bank can’t conceive of on its own.

“Startups can build quicker, they can find ways around problems which banks can’t, they don’t have all the red tape, and they have a wider vision of the world,” says Warren Squires, head of Barclays Africa’s VC arm, the Seeker Fund.

A couple walks past a Barclays logo in Johannesburg(Reuters/Siphiwe Sibeko)

One of Barclays’ first blockchain collaborations in Africa is with Consent, a startup who went through the bank’s pilot accelerator in Cape Town in late 2015.

“Barclays is trying to define what they become in the future. It’s like they’re going through a midlife crisis,” says Consent co-founder Shaun Conway, a medical doctor previously focused on m-health.

While Consent originally used blockchain to improve fidelity with individual medical records across different databases, Conway saw how Barclays could use his system to help comply with Know Your Customer (KYC) regulations in the short term, and safeguard customer identities in the long term.

After the accelerator, Consent won a year-long contract to build a proof of concept for the bank worth more than half a million dollars.

Barclays is working with several blockchain startups across the globe but sees special application in Africa. “Blockchain could be the most significant social and political innovation to impact Africa in 100 years,” says Lewis. A digital economy based on blockchain and bitcoin could hold African leaders to a new level of accountability. “If digital currencies become adopted in African nations, it could significantly reduce corruption from government, it could provide transparency and control to every day citizens.”

But the recent thinking that blockchain has a much wider application as a general purpose ledger beyond cryptocurrencies is up for debate. In a recent post “Beyond the Blockchain,” Marcus Swanepoel, the CEO of South African-born bitcoin startup BitX, argues the blockchain itself isn’t the magic ray of sunlight people are looking for.

“People think that if you put something on the blockchain all of the sudden the counterparty risk disappears,”says Swanepoel. “Take deeds or diamonds or shares. You’re effectively tokenizing something. But you still have to trust that the person who made the token for that asset actually holds that asset. The fraud happens when people load things onto the system, not within the system itself.”

Bitcoin itself, he contends, which has inherent and tradeable value, has no counterparty risk, making it especially appealing in Africa. BitX is working with its main investor, South African media and e-commerce conglomerate Naspers, on developing use cases for online content monetization and cross-border e-commerce.

While BitX currently sees more uptake in Southeast Asia than Africa (where it sees only South Africa and Nigeria as viable markets), BitX actually owes its origins to an African bank. Its first incarnation as Switchless piloted a bitcoin system for Standard Bank in 2013. It was never released to the public, but used its proof of concept to gain tractioninternationally, eventually raising a Series A round of financing from South African media and e-commerce conglomerate Naspers in late 2015. Now it is developing use cases for online content monetization and cross-border e-commerce, two key areas for Naspers.

But Standard Bank’s parent, Standard Chartered, is getting into the game. In mid-2015, its chief innovation officer posted on the potential for blockchain as a “force for good,” positing that blockchain could dramatically cut costs on financial services like remittances, credit cards and money transfers, thereby opening them up to those who can’t currently afford them (aka most Africans).

On a continent with 54 countries, using bitcoin as the interoperable system currency to convert between, say Kenyan shillings and naira or rand could make cross-border trade infinitely easier.

The Savannah Fund invested in Zimbabwean bitcoin startup BitFinance to test that thesis, as detailed in a just-released Stanford Business School case study. The collapse of the country’s national currency has given rise to several currencies in circulation, including US dollars and now the Chinese yuan, making it an ideal country to pilot bitcoin as a back-end trading currency. But just as important to Alliy was the locally-founded team’s close relationship with the central bank.

“Our approach is very tactful. We’re working with the central bank to figure out how bitcoin can fit into Zimbabwe’s ecosystem. We’re not just going in on a Silicon Valley-style disrupt model.”

The regulatory challenge

The value of working with established players shouldn’t be underestimated, says Alliy. Fintech startups have uphill battles in Africa. They need to comply with complex regulations and navigate through political power constellations that vary by country; the tech to handle people’s money requires bank-grade security; fintech talent is highly specialized and expensive. ”Can you raise enough to survive as long as it takes? To build trust and a brand, that can take a lot of money.”

Lots of cash can be hard to come by in Africa. Venture capitalists are still relatively scarce, and often require more proof of traction than a young fintech startup can show. As banks step into that early-stage void, they hope to marry their lumbering corporate cultures to the agile but fragile early stage startups they’re working with.

Consent’s Conway says getting things done has been painful. “Even with support from top level executives, the institution is just not geared toward working as fast as we do.”

That prospect hasn’t stopped 454 fintech companies from applying to Barclays’ TechStars accelerator in Cape Town, which starts Mar. 29. But experienced entrepreneurs like Lingham are dubious that any of these will be game changers.

“I applaud what they’re doing but I’ve yet to see a corporate-sponsored VC fund, accelerator or incubator ever create a business that disrupts an industry. They come out of the places you’d least expect them to,” says Lingham.

Lingham often invests in African startups, but stays away from financial services. “It’s not a quick win and it’s not gonna happen overnight. I’d say 5-10 years and then it will start accelerating. There’s just too much drag.”

Even the more optimistic acknowledge it’s a long road.

“10 years,” says Barclays’ Lewis. “It’s not the blockchain, it’s the internet. I chatted with (internet pioneer) Tim Berners Lee a few months ago, he estimated that in 10 years everyone in the world will have full access to the internet anywhere. That’s what it’ll take to enable a digital currency economy.”

Gavin Andresen Agrees, Mike Hearn's Bitcoin Exit 'a Whiny Ragequit'

Bitcoin Developer Mike Hearn’s departure from the project last month created many stories in the mainstream press about how the end of Bitcoin may be near, but pretty much everyone left in the Bitcoin community has disagreed with Hearn’s overall position. The former Google employee, who is perhaps best known for his work on Bitcoinj andBitcoin XT, claimed that the centralization of development power in Bitcoin Core, the centralization of bitcoin mining in China, and a myriad of other issues led him to come to the conclusion that Bitcoin is a failed experiment.

The Bitcoin community’s overall response to this declaration was likely best summarized by Bittorrent Creator Bram Cohen, who called Hearn’s exit from Bitcoin a whiny ragequit. In other words, Hearn quit Bitcoin because he couldn’t implement the changes he wanted to see in the protocol.

It appears that even Gavin Andresen, who was Hearn’s main partner in the development and promotion of the failed implementation of BIP 101 in Bitcoin XT, agrees with Cohen’s assessment of the situation. In a recent interviewwith Let’s Talk Bitcoin, Andresen stated:

“I agree with some of Mike’s points — some of them I don’t agree with — and I don’t like the way Mike went about it. I think it was a whiny ragequit.”

Taking a Long-Term View on Bitcoin

While expanding on his thoughts related to Hearn’s decision to leave the Bitcoin community, Andresen talked about the long-term view he takes with Bitcoin:

“Well that’s the 89th time or something that Bitcoin has been declared a failed experiment. I take the long-term view with Bitcoin, which I think frustrates people. I tend to take the twenty year view of — technologies take decades to catch on and really become really big mainstream things.”

Bitcoin Obituaries has become a popular website in the community due to all of the inaccurate predictions of Bitcoin’s ultimate failure from the past five or six years. As of today, various individuals and organizations have claimed Bitcoin is dead on at least 93 separate occasions.

While many other online cash systems and digital currencies have failed in the past, it’s important to remember that Bitcoin does not rely on the support of any one company or government. This feature has providedSatoshi Nakamoto’s creation with more resilience than any other attempt at digital cash from the past. One example of this phenomenon in action is Valve’s apparent embraceof Bitcoin after originally dismissing it almost two years ago.

The Future of Bitcoin is Bright

During his Let’s Talk Bitcoin interview, Andresen also touched on the fact that many people take a short-term view of Bitcoin. He noted:

“I think Mike [Hearn] takes a shorter perspective. I think there are a lot of speculators in the Bitcoin world that don’t look more than ten minutes out on what the price of bitcoin is doing.”

One possible reason of the short-term outlook on Bitcoin from some of the general public is the focus that is often placed on the currency application of the technology. Many people dismiss Bitcoin entirely after seeing the dollar price of a bitcoin drop below a certain level, but this ignores the fact that the Bitcoin network is useful as more than just a store of value. Bitcoin’s ability to survive many booms and busts in the past should be an indication that the success of this technology is measured by much more than the daily price swings.

Sticking to his long-term view of the peer-to-peer digital cash system, Andresen added, “I don’t think it’s a failed experiment. I think the future is actually pretty bright for Bitcoin.”

Bitcoin Still Needs to Scale

Although his outlook for the future of Bitcoin is bright, Andresen did not claim that there are no problems that still need to be solved. The Bitcoin Foundation Chief Scientist claimed there are Bitcoin companies dealing with issues related to scalability right now, which is why he has joined the Bitcoin Classic project, an initiative to increase the block size limit by 1 MB via a hard fork , which activates with 75 percent support of the overall network hashrate.

Coinbase Director of Engineering Charlie Lee has echoedAndresen’s statement in regards to the real problems with Bitcoin scalability affecting some companies right now. Bitcoin Core has published their own roadmap, but a majority of the hashing power controlled by mining poolswould like to see the development team create a more specific timeline for an increase in the block size limit. Up to this point, Bitcoin Classic does not appear to have gained much more overall support than Mike Hearn’s Bitcoin XT. It seems as though Bitcoin Core will continue to operate as the reference implementation of the Bitcoin protocol over the near term.

Thursday, 18 February 2016

The Fifth Amendment and Bitcoin: Why the Battle is About to Begin

Brian Klein is a partner at the litigation boutique Baker Marquart LLP and an advisor to BlockSeer, a blockchain analytics company. 

Klein's practice focuses on criminal and regulatory defense and civil litigation, and he represents numerous clients involved with digital currency and blockchain technology.

The fight over digital privacy and security waged between governments and their citizens and companies is getting more contentious and serious.

A recent development indirectly raises the significant issue of whether the US Constitution’s Fifth Amendment protects people from being forced to disclose their bitcoin private keys to law enforcement.

On 16th February, at the request of US federal prosecutors, a federal court issued an order requiring Apple to unlock an iPhone tied to the recent terrorist attack in San Bernardino, California.

The prosecutors sought this order so that law enforcement can create a "backdoor" allowing them to bypass the iPhone's built-in encryption technology. This order, which Apple plans to challenge, highlights ongoing and serious tensions over digital privacy and security, in particular encryption, and it is therefore likely to have broad implications for bitcoin, which is encryption-based.

To that end, one issue of great importance that the Apple order indirectly raises – it is attenuated from the main legal dispute as discussed below – is how much protection the Fifth Amendment offers a person who wants to keep a bitcoin private key just that, private (ie, not have to provide it to the government).

After all, like an iPhone’s locked screen passcode (or a password-protected laptop or computer file), a bitcoin private key, which is an un-guessable string of numbers and letters, gives the holder of it access to and control of the bitcoins.

As anyone who is familiar with bitcoin knows, you (or a proxy like a wallet service) need your bitcoins' private key or keys to move and use them.

The Fifth Amendment provides people with a number of rights, including the right against self-incrimination.

For all intents and purposes, only a person (not a company like Apple) can assert the right against self-incrimination, and he or she may make such an assertion in both criminal and civil cases.

Past precedent

That said, in seeking the order against Apple for "passcode help," the federal prosecutors' motion relied, in part, on a 2012 federal case from Colorado where the court ordered a defendant to unencrypt a computer that was obtained through a search warrant by using a passcode known only to that defendant.

The court’s ruling in favor of the government was premised on the fact the government knew of the existence and location of the computer’s files it was seeking to decrypt, even though it did not know the specific content of those files.

The federal prosecutors squaring off against Apple, however, ignored a more recent federal case in Pennsylvania decided in late 2015, which is at odds with the Colorado decision. That case, for reasons that will be obvious, strengthens the argument that people can assert the Fifth Amendment in connection with their bitcoin private keys.

In the Pennsylvania case, the SEC sought personal passcodes for smartphones owned by a company that required its employees to keep the passcodes secret.

Unlike the Colorado case, the SEC had no evidence of what was on the smartphones.

The Pennsylvania court denied the SEC’s request, finding the defendants could invoke their Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination, because the court believed the SEC was seeking the defendants' "personal thought processes...".

There are a small number of other federal cases, all with slightly varied fact patterns, dealing with passcodes and passwords and whether the Fifth Amendment is a barrier to law enforcement learning them.

Overall, they support the notion that the Fifth Amendment shields people from being compelled by the government to disclose their bitcoin private keys. This is because the courts have maintained that the Fifth Amendment prevents the government from forcing individuals to tell the government the passcode to the digital device, which should apply equally to private keys due to their inherent similarities.

Despite all that, in one prominent case, a court ruled that the defendant did not have to tell the government the passcode to unencrypt his computer, but he did have to provide the government with an unencrypted copy.

Bitcoin implications

Translated to bitcoin private keys, that could mean a person would have to transfer his or her bitcoins to where the government wanted them moved (eg, a government controlled bitcoin wallet) but not tell the government the private key used.

So far, no US court has ruled, at least publicly, on whether the Fifth Amendment protects a person from government compelled disclosure of his or her bitcoin private key or keys.

But from the current cases, we know the factors a court is likely to consider if confronted with this issue. Some of those key factors are:

Whether the private key is written down somewhere (likely less protection) or only in the person’s head (likely more protection)Has the individual acknowledged control of the bitcoins seen (likely less protection) or kept quiet (likely more protection).

In the not too distant future, there can be no doubt that a US court will tackle the issue of the application of the Fifth Amendment to bitcoin private keys in a case that undoubtedly will be closely watched like the current Apple case.

And that court should uphold one of the Fifth Amendment’s most important protections and not compel disclosure, despite prosecutors urging otherwise.

The Fifth Amendment would be undermined if a court did anything else, and a defense attorney should vigorously contest any government attempt to seek such a court order.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Groundhog Day

Bitcoin price pushed above $420 today and continues higher in a narrow channel of advance.

This analysis is provided by xbt.social with a 3-hour delay. Read the full analysis here. Not a member? Join now and receive a $29 discount using the code CCN29.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

Time of analysis: 13h00 UTC

Bitstamp 1-Hour Chart

From the analysis pages of xbt.social, earlier today:

Incredibly, yet another high for this wave.

Regardless of indicators at any timeframe and despite large sell orders above price nearly every step of the way, the persistent advance continues pushing higher. It is as if nothing can stop it.

If a trader takes profit based on overbought indicators, they will soon regret their prudence since their only option will be to rejoin the trend – into overbought MACD, RSI and stochastics.

While price holds within the advancing channel, the only option is to be bullish. Don’t read the chart indicators, don’t think about it, just buy. $10 a day for the past week says “only up”.

This analyst wishes he could guesstimate where this trend might end, but it has proven to be a futile exercise for two weeks thus far. Mind the area circled in magenta and any movement below the lower trend channel – this could all end abruptly.

Summary

Bitcoin price is advancing without technical support and the bulls are in control of a slow step-like advance. So far so good. Green pips to all. Just mind the bears jumping out the first-floor window.

Meet Boost VC's Newest Bitcoin and Blockchain Startups

Boost VC, the San Mateo-based startup incubator led by CEO Adam Draper, announced 'Tribe 7' yesterday, its latest group of 20 early-stage startups.

With its latest batch, Boost's portfolio currently stands at 138 companies – 55 working on blockchain products and 34 on virtual reality.

The incubator now claims to be the most active investor in both of those sectors, adding that a total of over $125m that has been raised by its startups to date.

Notably, while Tribe 5 was dominated by bitcoin and blockchain startups – accounting for 90% of the 25 firms – last year's Tribe 6 and now Tribe 7 have seen those numbers drop, first to five and now to four, as Boost increases its focus on virtual reality.

Here are the four blockchain startups joining its latest class:

1. Stampery

Stampery, according to its website, leverages the bitcoin blockchain to generate an immutable record of existence, integrity and ownership of all its users' files and emails.

What that means is users wanting prove a document existed at a certain point in time, that they are the original owner or that it has not been altered, can use Stampery to create a record on the blockchain.

The California-based startup, which has a seven-person team headed by CEO Daniele Levi, says all files are stored encrypted for security, and that all certificates are 100% counterfeit-proof and verifiable by independent third parties.

It further adds that the service is legally binding, since it leverages the global blockchain database, every certification it creates cannot ever be changed, forged or deleted.

However, legal precedence has yet to be set for the use of blockchain evidence in courts. That is surely just a matter of time.

2. Mailman

Mailman describes itself as a service which increases the importance of emails by providing incentives "with the power of blockchain".

Effectively, the email sender pays a small bitcoin reward, which Mailman passes to the receiver when they reply to the message.

Mailman notifies the reciever of an email and handles the transactions by using "cutting-edge open-source technologies".

Mailman is a Pakistan-based firm run by CEO Amin Shah Gilani and CTO Rana Waleed Asmat. It works using services by exchange and wallet provider Coinbase and email automation firm Mailgun.

3. Magic. in Bits

This three-person Israeli startup, headed by CEO Eli Ben Nun, offers a variety of services under the tag line "Intelligent security for the blockchain".

From an "intelligent co-signer" using multi-sig technology for cryptocurrency storage, to supply chain protection, to security audits and compliance checks for blockchain systems, Magic. in Bits is covering a host of blockchain services under a broad security umbrella.

The firm describes itself on CrunchBase as "the 'credit score' for digital currencies with an active layer of defence", adding:

"We provide a co-signer powered by an analysis engine as a layer that shields transactions from theft and fraud."

4. Ownership Technology

"We are a global industry pioneer with a mission: We want to help both individuals and enterprises to protect their precious intellectual properties. We are the superhero of ownership at this digital age," says the team atOwnership.

Under the guidance of co-founder and CEO Keda Che, the six-person team offers anti-counterfeiting IT solutions to enterprises around the world, relying on blockchain technology to prevent unauthorized use of both digital and physical properties.

Users can either register ownership of a property or transfer its ownership to others through the company, which records the details on the blockchain.

Mizuho, Microsoft Japan Trial Blockchain System for Syndicated Loans

Financial services giant Mizuho has announced a second blockchain technology trial to be focused on syndicated loans.

Announced on 16th February, the project finds Mizuhouniting with other Japan-based companies, including Information Services International-Dentsu (ISID), blockchain startup Currency Port and Microsoft Japan Co, the local subsidiary of the US tech giant.

ISID corporate communications officer Kayoko Lee said that the trial is still in early stages, as the partners seek first to "verify the applicability" of the technology to the post-trade process using Microsoft’s blockchain-as-a-service (BaaS) offering.

Lee told CoinDesk:

"We deepen understanding of these advanced technologies through this experiment, and aim to create the new service models which bring financial innovation."

The news follows Mizuho’s partnership with IT consulting firm Cognizant, which will find it working on blockchain applications for internal record-keeping, and further, comes at a time when a number of startups are seeking to apply blockchain tech to syndicated loans.

Both Digital Asset Holdings and itBit, for example, list syndicated loans among their business offerings, with the two companies accounting for nearly $90m in total fundraising.

As Ransomware Crisis Explodes, Hollywood Hospital Coughs Up $17000 In Bitcoin

Across the world, hackers are taking control of networks, locking away files and demanding sizeable ransoms to return data to the rightful owner. This is the ransomware nightmare, one that a Hollywood hospital has been swallowed up by in the last week. The body confirmed it agreed to pay its attackers $17,000 in Bitcoin to return to some kind of normality. Meanwhile, FORBES has learned of a virulent strain of ransomware called Locky that’s infecting at least 90,000 machines a day.

The Hollywood Presbyterian Medical Center’s own nightmare started on 5 February, when staff noticed they could not access the network. It was soon determined hackers had locked up those files and wanted 40 Bitcoins (worth around $17,000) for the decryption key required to unlock the machines. Original reports had put the ransom at 9,000 Bitcoin (worth roughly $3.6 million), but Allen Stefanek, president and CEO of Hollywood Presbyterian Medical Center, said in an official statement they were inaccurate.

Despite receiving assistance from local police and security experts, the hospital chose to pay the attackers. “The quickest and most efficient way to restore our systems and administrative functions was to pay the ransom and obtain the decryption key. In the best interest of restoring normal operations, we did this.”

Reports had indicated some 911 patients had to be diverted to other hospitals, whilst pen and paper had to be used for some registrations and medical records. Stefanek said patient care had not been adversely affected and personal data had not been compromised.

Russian ransomware rampant at 90,000 infections a day

Ransomware variants are causing havoc across global networks, but this week saw the emergence of Locky, not a particularly sophisticated malware but one that’s spreading fast. It asks for between 0.5 and 1 Bitcoin (roughly $420) for users to unlock their files.

Kevin Beaumont, a British analyst at a manufacturing company, told FORBES he’d set up a domain that communicated with the Locky hackers. He estimated more than 100,000 PCs were infected just yesterday, whilst a contact at Fujitsu corroborated those findings, suggesting as many as 90,000 infections were taking place per day from the start of this week. At one point, said Beaumont, connections to his domain peaked at five requests per second. Prior to that it was around 3600 requests per hour – about one per second.